Market Forecast

According to Gate Research, Bitcoin rebounded to around $106,000 this week after briefly dipping below $100,000, driven by easing concerns over the U.S. government shutdown and improving risk appetite. While a preliminary MACD bullish crossover has formed, both trading volume and capital inflows remain weak, indicating the uptrend is not yet established. Ethereum continues to fluctuate between $3,400 and $3,650 with limited rebound momentum. Overall, market sentiment remains cautious, and the recent rebound appears to be a technical correction rather than the start of a new bullish phase.

Gate Research reported that Bitcoin fell below $100,000 this week for the first time since June, hitting a low of $99,932 and breaking below its 200-day moving average, marking the second-largest single-day drop of the year.

Weekly Report Date: November 3, 2025. Please note that all opinions and information provided are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Strategy Recommendation: BTC Reverse Bullish Calendar Spread. For a limited time, option fee discounts are available: https://www.gate.com/zh/campaigns/3109

The article examines increased tension in the crypto market as the Bitcoin white paper celebrates its 17th anniversary. Although the Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates, Bitcoin’s price has not stabilized. Doubts regarding the feasibility of a decentralized future have increased throughout the market.

Gate Research noted that BTC has recently been consolidating between $108,000 and $115,000, with short-term moving averages converging and market direction remaining uncertain. If the price holds above $107,000, the range-bound movement may continue; a breakout above $115,000 with rising volume could open the door to a new upward leg. ETH has been fluctuating between $3,850 and $4,250, showing weaker momentum, but a breakout above $4,100–$4,200 could reignite its uptrend. Overall, the market continues to oscillate within key ranges, while liquidity conditions remain cautious.

Weekly Report Date: October 27, 2025; Important Notice: The opinions and information herein are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice for any individual; Strategy Recommendation: BTC Bullish Calendar Spread.

Gate Research Institute stated that BTC is currently consolidating at low levels within the $108,000–$109,000 range, lacking a clear short-term direction. ETH is fluctuating between $3,850–$4,050, with selling pressure still present but the decline narrower than in previous periods.

On October 17, Bitcoin dropped from $116,000 to approximately $104,500. This significant decline has raised market concerns about a new bottom. In this article, we analyze current market dynamics and potential risks in depth. We examine data on derivatives contract liquidations, ETF net flows, technical support levels, and intermediate- to long-term trends to assess whether the crypto market is shifting into a bearish phase.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin has stabilized above $115,000, while Ethereum broke through $4,200, leading a rebound in altcoins. Falcon secured a strategic investment of $10 million from M2 Capital and Cypher Capital, surging 27.2% within 24 hours. Bella Protocol formed a strategic partnership with AITECH, driving BEL up 36.9%. Kalshi partnered with Pyth Network to bring real-time prediction market data on-chain for the first time. Asset manager Amundi is entering the crypto ETF market, further accelerating the integration of digital assets with traditional finance. Following recent liquidations, the market has deleveraged overall, but structural capital and institutional demand remain intact.

This article systematically examines the chain of events behind the October 2025 crypto market crash: from global risk aversion sparked by Trump’s tariff remarks, to the USDe depegging, loop loan liquidations, and the subsequent wave of market maker blowups. It reveals the inherent fragility of high-yield stablecoin mechanisms. The article also shows how leverage stacking can unleash systemic risk under extreme market stress, underscoring the unbreakable financial law for investors: high yield means high risk.

On-chain data shows that DOGE has triggered a rare Hash Ribbon buy signal, which usually indicates a market recovery and upward opportunity. However, the momentum indicator RSI has shown a downward bend. If it cannot break through the resistance level, it may enter a consolidation phase this summer.

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